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Pos No. Wins Sales Percentage 1 03 669,171 968,319,470 0.06911% 2 08 1,087,067 1,579,581,250 0.06882% 3 31 553,101 822,900,800 0.06721% 4 11 982,912 1,478,332,560 0.06649% 5 07 727,670 1,105,425,520 0.06583% 6 12 486,168 740,093,010 0.06569% 7 09 370,309 573,353,680 0.06459% 8 44 609,578 950,446,620 0.06414% 9 01 466,020 729,029,500 0.06392% 10 19 924,104 1,446,485,100 0.06389% 11 43 626,479 991,830,280 0.06316% 12 16 1,268,416 2,024,958,710 0.06264% 13 05 795,353 1,281,099,540 0.06208% 14 28 631,100 1,050,029,280 0.06010% 15 23 913,221 1,530,031,570 0.05969% 16 20 437,325 734,498,620 0.05954% 17 15 438,517 737,562,320 0.05945% 18 06 662,380 1,122,312,320 0.05902% 19 25 475,001 811,929,750 0.05850% 20 02 678,582 1,160,956,290 0.05845% 21 21 655,571 1,127,500,570 0.05814% 22 57 225,483 389,130,500 0.05795% 23 24 705,275 1,221,339,900 0.05775% 24 37 719,833 1,256,299,840 0.05730% 25 27 556,898 980,611,320 0.05679% 26 30 485,360 859,820,110 0.05645% 27 38 676,516 1,203,623,870 0.05621% 28 14 686,552 1,225,102,300 0.05604% 29 45 737,048 1,321,988,630 0.05575% 30 26 562,103 1,009,110,610 0.05570% 31 10 778,837 1,410,461,450 0.05522% 32 17 440,221 801,769,040 0.05491% 33 32 443,835 809,205,730 0.05485% 34 50 359,684 660,797,870 0.05443% 35 29 753,116 1,394,204,090 0.05402% 36 22 354,160 661,793,070 0.05352% 37 34 601,677 1,128,896,960 0.05330% 38 40 517,050 971,244,790 0.05324% 39 18 562,116 1,063,746,900 0.05284% 40 42 612,706 1,165,952,540 0.05255% 41 04 520,113 1,005,911,550 0.05171% 42 13 366,617 709,325,190 0.05169% 43 58 672,231 1,324,765,680 0.05074% 44 49 661,898 1,305,727,720 0.05069% 45 53 370,323 734,509,010 0.05042% 46 47 626,252 1,247,299,610 0.05021% 47 41 591,075 1,179,513,180 0.05011% 48 35 491,657 983,320,280 0.05000% 49 36 532,568 1,066,115,970 0.04995% 50 46 416,465 840,637,680 0.04954% 51 33 188,555 384,833,700 0.04900% 52 54 990,440 2,046,907,100 0.04839% 53 55 443,464 943,688,620 0.04699% 54 48 293,533 630,755,710 0.04654% 55 51 450,023 974,053,860 0.04620% 56 39 406,048 885,691,550 0.04585% 57 52 627,738 1,477,517,030 0.04249% 58 59 414,843 984,658,500 0.04213% 59 56 390,849 948,062,460 0.04123%Notes:
Firstly, I needed to work out how many winning tickets used a particular number (let's say using the number 1 as an example) in each prize tier for a single draw. Camelot don't release the figures for this, so for a particular prize tier, it has to be estimated thus:
Winning tickets using the number 1 in a prize tier = ( Number of combinations in that tier that use the number 1 / Total combinations in that tier ) * Number of actual prize winners in that tier [yes, this last figure is indeed released by Camelot]
This assumes an even distribution of combinations of course, which isn't the case in real life, but it's the best we can do. I then wrote a combinations program that generated all 14m tickets and calculated the first two figures in the RHS of the above equation for each tier (we know the third figure from Camelot as I said) by assuming that the 6 numbers drawn were 1 to 6 and we were looking at winning tickets using the number 1. This resulted in the following table:
Tier Uses 1 Combs Ratio 6-match 1 1 1.000 5+bonus 5 6 0.833 5-match 210 252 0.833 4-match 9,030 13,545 0.667 3-match 123,410 246,820 0.500 2-match 617,050 1,851,150 0.333 1-match 962,598 5,775,588 0.167 0-match 0 6,095,454 0.000
After this, it was simply a question of using the above table for each draw, multiplying the ratio by number of winners in the tier for a particular draw and then doing this for all 104 draws to get a total for a particular number. I then totalled the sales for every draw where a particular number appeared, divided the figure from the previous sentence by that total and then sorted on the percentage figure as shown in the main table on this page. You can wake up now...
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