UK National Lotto #1391

Winning numbers drawn at 8.30pm BST on Wednesday 22nd April 2009:

11 21 34 42 43 45 (20)

The table below is courtesy of Camelot's phone line (0845 9100 000 *10).

Category      Prize       Winners       Total        Percentages
Jackpot     £2,793,752           0            £0       0.0% - rolled over
5+bonus       £429,807           2      £859,614      16.6%
5 match         £3,105         173      £537,165      10.4%
4 match            £93      12,586    £1,170,498      22.7%
3 match            £10     259,746    £2,597,460      50.3%
Totals                     272,507    £5,164,737     100.0%

Category                  Change       Figure
Ticket sales             0.7% rise   £17,711,244

Lotto HotPicks #709 results:

Category        Prize         Winners        Total     Percentages
Pick 5          £130,000            0             £0       0.0%
Pick 4            £7,000            9        £63,000      11.5%
Pick 3              £450          512       £230,400      41.9%
Pick 2               £40        5,875       £235,000      42.7%
Pick 1                £5        4,271        £21,355       3.9%
Totals                         10,667       £549,755     100.0%

The average Lotto HotPicks prize was £51.54.

The next table displays the draw order, revised frequencies and the last prior appearance of each of the 7 balls.

                    Updated Frequencies       Since Last Appeared
Drawn   Order      Main    Bonus   Total    Main    Bonus    Either
1st       21       153      37      190       4        5        4 
2nd       43       185      30      215      15       81       15 
3rd       42       171      29      200       1       91        1 
4th       11       191      30      221       3       20        3 
5th       34       161      27      188      12      197       12 
6th       45       170      36      206       3       61        3 
Bonus     20       135      38      173      12       97       12 
Total    216      1166     227     1393      50      552       50
Avg.      30.9     166.6    32.4    199.0     7.1     78.9      7.1

Comments:

The draw used ball set 4 in the Sapphire machine and the average main Lotto prize was £18.95. One in every 65.0 main Lotto tickets won a prize (=1.54% of players).
If all 13,983,816 ticket combinations were additionally purchased for the main Lotto game, they would have made a loss of £9,159,611.
The prior history of the main Lotto jackpot ticket included 26 wins totalling £405.
From Saturday 12th July 2003 onwards, Camelot has completely refused to issue per-draw sales figures for any of their individual games, despite continuously doing so for more than 8 years prior to that date. They blamed the media for only concentrating on the main Lotto game sales (which have been falling steadily for years), which seems to be a poor excuse to me. However, games with variable prize tiers such as the main Lotto can have their sales figures reverse-calculated to within a few pounds, which is what I have done.

There may be a discrepancy of £1 in the jackpot prize amount that was rolled over (or possibly the 5+bonus prize amount). Unfortunately, phoning Camelot for the ticket sales didn't help (they just said "about £17m") and they're not on the official lottery site either, so the usual reverse calculation using the prize formula was needed to estimate the ticket sales to +/- a few pounds. Here's the initial calculation (note that the prizes for 4-match and 5-match do work out correctly):

Ticket sales:     £17,711,244.00
Total prize pool:  £7,970,059.80  (= 45% of sales, rounded down to nearest 10p)
Subtract 3-match: -£2,597,460.00
Variable pool:     £5,372,599.80  (for match 4, 5, 5+bonus and 6 tiers)
6-match pool:      £2,793,751.89  (52% of variable pool)
6-match prize:     £2.793.751.00  (no winner, rounded down and then rolled over)
5+bonus pool:        £859,615.968 (16% of variable pool)
5+bonus prize:       £429,807.00  (2 winners, rounded down to nearest pound)

If you then start adjusting the ticket sales down, clearly the 6-match pool will drop (to £2,793,750 initially), so that doesn't work. If you increase the ticket sales by £1, you get these calcs:

Ticket sales:     £17,711,245.00
Total prize pool:  £7,970,060.20  (= 45% of sales, rounded down to nearest 10p)
Subtract 3-match: -£2,597,460.00
Variable pool:     £5,372,600.20  (for match 4, 5, 5+bonus and 6 tiers)
6-match pool:      £2,793,752.104 (52% of variable pool)
6-match prize:     £2.793.752.00  (no winner, rounded down and then rolled over)
5+bonus pool:        £859,616.032 (16% of variable pool)
5+bonus prize:       £429,808.00  (2 winners, rounded down to nearest pound)

So whilst the 6-match prize is now correct, the 5+bonus prize is £1 too high. I suspect Camelot have applied incorrect rounding at some point and have come up with a jackpot and 5+bonus prize that can't match the prize formula.

Unclaimed prizes from this draw expired at 5.30pm BST on Monday 19th October 2009 and have been added to the National Lottery Distribution Fund.

Next Lotto: #1392 (Saturday 25th April 2009) [1 jackpot winner]
Previous Lotto: #1390 (Saturday 18th April 2009) [1 jackpot winner]

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Auto-generated at 10.32am BST on Thursday 16th July 2020